This paper reports on an extension of an earlier study, which examined tenure change in Scotland between 1991, 2001 and 2006. The results of that study were published in May 2009. Since 2009, the results of the 2011 Census have become available and this allows an examination of tenure change up till 2011.
Since 2008, Scottish Councils have been required to undertake a Housing Needs and Demand Assessment (HNDA) for Development Plans and Local Housing Strategies. An important component of the HNDA is an assessment of future numbers of households, as well as of housing needs and requirements for affordable housing. This involves, amongst others, a projection of likely changes in the tenure distribution for future households.
In order to assess likely future change, it is important to understand recent change. This paper seeks to make a contribution to this by comparing tenure change in the years 2001-2011 with tenure change in the period 1991-2001. The initial research, reported on in the earlier paper, originated from work for the review of social rented housing demand in Glasgow in 2007. Results from this work showed that the pattern of population flows into/out of the various tenures had changed considerably since 2001.
The present paper reports on a comparison of tenure change for the two periods 1991-2001 and 2001- 2011, using population and household estimates from the National Records of Scotland (NRS) and the 1991, 2001 and 2011 Census Tables. The results are given of a further examination of tenure change in 2001-2011, using data from the Scottish Longitudinal Study (SLS).