Modelling short-distance residential moves using the Northern Ireland Longitudinal Study
Shuttleworth, I. & Gould, M. (2010) British Society for Population Studies annual conference 2010, University of Exeter, UK, 13 - 15 September 2010 [NILS]
This presentation uses a newly-developed data source – the Northern Ireland Longitudinal Study (NILS) which comprises Health Card registration data linked to data from the 2001 Census – to describe and analyse residential migratory moves in Northern Ireland between 2001 and 2007 (for 28% of this population). The analysis considers the individual and neighbourhood factors that shape whether individuals change residential address or not, and also the distances they moved. Examples of questions to which answers are sought include whether there are differences in mobility by religion, by marital status, limiting long-term illness status; and whether individuals in areas where they are in ‘the minority’ (e.g. Catholics in Protestant areas) are more mobile than those in places where they are ‘the majority’ Multilevel modelling is used to explore the determinants of both the probability of moving and the distance moved; the relative importance of between- individual and between-place variability, and also the interactions between place and individual characteristics. The main findings are that patterns of movement strongly structured by religious denomination and by socio-economic background, and that ‘place’ (in terms of Super Output Area of residence) is an important context. Other results also indicate that public authority housing residents are less mobile than others; that there are differentials in mobility by age, education and limiting long-term illness; and that migration does not have a major impact on redistributing population with regard to community background.